Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Green Bay Packers 4th & 11 at the 63

Green Bay Packers 14 – Minnesota Vikings 24

(12:57) 6-J.Scott punts 56 yards to MIN 7, Center-43-H.Bradley, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.65 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.23 EP
67% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 63, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model