Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 74

Dallas Cowboys 7 – Tennessee Titans 7

(7:55) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 43 yards to TEN 31, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 25-A.Jackson.

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.84 EP
64% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 74, worth -4.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model