Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 72

Los Angeles Rams 35 – New Orleans Saints 38

(4:58) 6-J.Hekker punts 47 yards to NO 25, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.53 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.34 EP
54% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 72, worth -3.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model