Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 64

Los Angeles Rams 26 – Green Bay Packers 27

(6:58) 6-J.Hekker punts 43 yards to GB 21, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.31 EP
68% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 64, worth -3.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model