Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 7 at the 79

Green Bay Packers 10 – Los Angeles Rams 0

(10:36) 6-J.Scott punts 43 yards to LA 36, Center-43-H.Bradley. 19-J.Natson to LA 38 for 2 yards (35-J.Whitehead).

The Three Options

GO -2.24 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +1.29 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 79, worth -4.52 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model