Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 18 at the 66

New York Giants 0 – Atlanta Falcons 0

(6:00) 9-R.Dixon punts 52 yards to ATL 14, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 14-J.Hardy.

The Three Options

GO -2.08 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +2.57 EP
75% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 66, worth -3.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model