Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 82

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Cincinnati Bengals 0

(9:07) 4-J.Berry punts 36 yards to CIN 46, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.92 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +0.17 EP
59% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 82, worth -5.05 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model