Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 12 at the 82

Green Bay Packers 14 – Minnesota Vikings 7

(8:29) 51-K.Fackrell reported in as eligible. 6-J.Scott punts 63 yards to MIN 19, Center-43-H.Bradley, fair catch by 35-M.Sherels.

The Three Options

GO -2.59 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.53 EP
67% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 82, worth -4.64 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model