Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 7 at the 63

Jacksonville Jaguars 13 – New York Giants 9

(12:20) 9-L.Cooke punts 36 yards to NYG 27, Center-46-C.Tinker, fair catch by 15-K.Clay.

The Three Options

GO -1.13 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.28 EP
60% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 63, worth -3.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model