Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 19 at the 89

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Arizona Cardinals 10

(1:14) 9-J.Ryan punts 32 yards to SEA 43, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.33 EP

24% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.66 EP
76% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 89, worth -4.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (106 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model