Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 9 at the 63

Arizona Cardinals 10 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(3:22) 2-A.Lee punts 63 yards to end zone, Center-46-A.Brewer, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.79 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.36 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 63, worth -3.75 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model