Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cleveland Browns 4th & 7 at the 69

Cleveland Browns 3 – Chicago Bears 20

(11:53) 4-B.Colquitt punts 51 yards to CHI 18, Center-47-C.Hughlett, downed by CLE-80-R.Louis.

The Three Options

GO -1.60 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.98 EP
63% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 69, worth -3.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model