Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 75

New York Giants 23 – Philadelphia Eagles 24

(8:46) 9-B.Wing punts 34 yards to PHI 41, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.29 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.67 EP
66% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 75, worth -4.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model