Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 60

New York Giants 20 – Philadelphia Eagles 7

(10:48) 9-B.Wing punts 40 yards to PHI 20, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 38-K.Barner.

The Three Options

GO -1.14 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.90 EP
66% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 60, worth -3.21 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model