Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 6 at the 69

Philadelphia Eagles 7 – New York Giants 20

(12:15) 8-D.Jones punts 46 yards to NYG 23, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-52-N.Goode.

The Three Options

GO -1.44 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +1.73 EP
55% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 69, worth -4.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model