Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cleveland Browns 4th & 6 at the 64

Cleveland Browns 7 – Green Bay Packers 7

(:54) (Punt formation) 4-B.Colquitt punts 56 yards to GB 8, Center-47-C.Hughlett, downed by CLE-10-S.Coates.

The Three Options

GO -1.13 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.48 EP
61% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 64, worth -3.41 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model