Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 6 at the 61

Jacksonville Jaguars 14 – Los Angeles Chargers 17

(6:09) (Punt formation) 3-B.Nortman punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-40-T.Bohanon, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.11 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.95 EP
59% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 61, worth -3.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model