Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 17 at the 92

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Houston Texans 0

(2:34) 6-J.Hekker punts 55 yards to HOU 37, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.34 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.34 EP
70% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 92, worth -5.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (109 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model