Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Tennessee Titans 4th & 9 at the 60

Tennessee Titans 16 – Baltimore Ravens 6

(13:18) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 53 yards to BAL 7, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 31-B.Rainey pushed ob at BAL 16 for 9 yards (36-L.Sims).

The Three Options

GO -1.41 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.97 EP
69% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 60, worth -3.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model