Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 2 at the 67

Tennessee Titans 9 – Cleveland Browns 9

(:25) 6-B.Kern punts 58 yards to CLE 9, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 11-B.Treggs to CLE 13 for 4 yards (32-D.Fluellen; 41-B.Trawick).

The Three Options

GO -0.43 EP

58% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +0.42 EP
42% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 67, worth -1.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model