Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 63

Seattle Seahawks 10 – New York Giants 7

(4:04) 9-J.Ryan punts 49 yards to NYG 14, Center-69-T.Ott. 84-E.Eagan to NYG 14 for no gain (23-N.Thorpe).

The Three Options

GO -1.25 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.09 EP
59% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 63, worth -3.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model