Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 5 at the 73

Jacksonville Jaguars 14 – Los Angeles Rams 17

(5:58) 3-B.Nortman punts 52 yards to LA 21, Center-43-M.Overton. 10-P.Cooper ran ob at LA 26 for 5 yards (53-B.Brown).

The Three Options

GO -1.44 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.70 EP
55% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 73, worth -3.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model