Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 11 at the 71

Dallas Cowboys 24 – Los Angeles Rams 16

(10:54) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 44 yards to LA 27, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 11-T.Austin to LA 34 for 7 yards (84-J.Hanna).

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.17 EP
67% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 71, worth -4.05 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model