Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 76

Los Angeles Rams 16 – Dallas Cowboys 24

(13:25) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 62 yards to DAL 14, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-10-P.Cooper.

The Three Options

GO -2.32 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.35 EP
63% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 76, worth -4.46 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model