Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 63

Los Angeles Rams 6 – Dallas Cowboys 17

What Actually Happened

(8:40) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 46 yards to DAL 17, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 10-R.Switzer MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LA-32-T.Hill at DAL 18. 32-T.Hill to DAL 18 for no gain (31-B.Jones). Penalty on DAL-23-B.Benwikere, Illegal Block Above the Waist, declined.

The Three Options

GO -1.93 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.33 EP
68% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 63, worth -3.89 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model