4TH&DATA
EN ES
Back to Game

Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 5 at the 70

New York Giants 0 – Dallas Cowboys 3

What Actually Happened

(5:31) (Punt formation) 9-B.Wing punts 41 yards to DAL 29, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 10-R.Switzer.

The Three Options

GO -1.59 EP
  • 44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.47 EP
  • 56% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 70, worth -4.03 EP
KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

PUNT -1.15 EP
What Happened Model's Pick
  • Dallas Cowboys would take over around their own 28, worth -1.15 EP

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model