Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 14 at the 66

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(12:25) 6-C.Jones punts 48 yards to PHI 18, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, downed by DAL-23-L.McFadden.

The Three Options

GO -1.94 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.46 EP
68% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 66, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model