Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 12 at the 67

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Philadelphia Eagles 3

(4:20) 6-C.Jones punts 66 yards to PHI 1, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.83 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.93 EP
66% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 67, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model