Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 6 at the 63

Cincinnati Bengals 20 – Baltimore Ravens 10

(5:46) 10-K.Huber punts 63 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Harris, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.21 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.84 EP
59% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 63, worth -3.30 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model