Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 6 at the 71

Philadelphia Eagles 24 – New York Giants 19

(4:24) 8-D.Jones punts 43 yards to NYG 28, Center-45-R.Lovato. 17-D.Harris to NYG 27 for -1 yards (42-C.Maragos).

The Three Options

GO -1.86 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.20 EP
60% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 71, worth -3.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model