Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 70

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(10:52) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Thomas.

The Three Options

GO -2.07 EP

What Happened

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +2.08 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 70, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +0.65 EP