Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 19 at the 83

Seattle Seahawks 3 – Green Bay Packers 14

(8:05) 9-J.Ryan punts 31 yards to SEA 48, Center-48-N.Frese, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.08 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +1.67 EP
72% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 83, worth -4.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (100 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model