Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 76

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Atlanta Falcons 42

(10:20) 6-J.Hekker punts 57 yards to ATL 19, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 14-E.Weems.

The Three Options

GO -2.23 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.62 EP
65% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 76, worth -4.27 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model