Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 11 at the 74

Minnesota Vikings 3 – Dallas Cowboys 7

(:25) (Punt formation) 18-J.Locke punts 25 yards to DAL 49, Center-47-K.McDermott, downed by MIN-57-A.Cole.

The Three Options

GO -1.83 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +0.91 EP
67% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 74, worth -3.21 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model