Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 9 at the 94

Cincinnati Bengals 20 – New York Giants 14

(2:08) 10-K.Huber punts 50 yards to NYG 44, Center-46-C.Harris. 43-B.Rainey pushed ob at CIN 47 for 9 yards (57-V.Rey).

The Three Options

GO -3.31 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 85, worth -0.08 EP
59% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 94, worth -5.52 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (111 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model