Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Carolina Panthers 4th & 6 at the 71

Carolina Panthers 30 – Arizona Cardinals 14

(:54) 8-A.Lee punts 41 yards to ARI 30, Center-44-J.Jansen, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.89 EP
59% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 71, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model