Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 19 at the 84

Arizona Cardinals 0 – Carolina Panthers 7

(10:35) 9-R.Quigley punts 43 yards to CAR 41, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 19-T.Ginn.

The Three Options

GO -3.52 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.24 EP
75% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 84, worth -5.13 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model