Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 7 at the 76

Arizona Cardinals 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(9:04) 9-R.Quigley punts 36 yards to SEA 40, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.75 EP
59% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 76, worth -4.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model