Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 16 at the 85

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Arizona Cardinals 3

(10:13) (Punt formation) 9-J.Ryan punts 34 yards to SEA 49, Center-48-N.Frese, downed by SEA-33-K.McCray.

The Three Options

GO -3.17 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.13 EP
71% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 85, worth -4.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model