Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 10 at the 56

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(11:48) 9-J.Ryan punts 45 yards to ARI 11, Center-48-N.Frese. 10-B.Golden to ARI 19 for 8 yards (21-D.Elliott).

The Three Options

GO -1.09 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +2.81 EP
67% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 56, worth -2.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model