Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 11 at the 93

Los Angeles Chargers 10 – Atlanta Falcons 13

(8:05) 8-D.Kaser punts 43 yards to 50, Center-47-M.Windt, fair catch by 14-E.Weems.

The Three Options

GO -3.25 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 82, worth +0.70 EP
63% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 93, worth -5.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (110 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model