Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 6 at the 73

Cleveland Browns 7 – New England Patriots 23

(3:55) (Punt formation) 4-B.Colquitt punts 37 yards to NE 36, Center-47-C.Hughlett, fair catch by 11-J.Edelman.

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.50 EP
58% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 73, worth -4.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model