Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 6 at the 63

Minnesota Vikings 7 – New York Giants 0

(14:56) (Punt formation) 18-J.Locke punts 50 yards to NYG 13, Center-47-K.McDermott, downed by MIN-85-R.Ellison.

The Three Options

GO -0.92 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.45 EP
58% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 63, worth -3.39 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model