Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New Orleans Saints 4th & 6 at the 66

New Orleans Saints 21 – Los Angeles Chargers 24

(7:29) 6-T.Morstead punts 62 yards to LAC 4, Center-47-J.Drescher, downed by NO-20-B.Dixon.

The Three Options

GO -1.32 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.64 EP
56% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model