Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 15 at the 60

Minnesota Vikings 2 – Carolina Panthers 10

(5:11) 18-J.Locke punts 58 yards to CAR 2, Center-47-K.McDermott, downed by MIN-84-C.Patterson.

The Three Options

GO -1.89 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +2.90 EP
74% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 60, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model