Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 80

Los Angeles Rams 17 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20

(8:08) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 46 yards to TB 34, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 11-A.Humphries.

The Three Options

GO -2.68 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.21 EP
65% chance to fail: Tampa Bay Buccaneers takes over around their own 80, worth -4.74 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model