Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 6 at the 93

Green Bay Packers 7 – Jacksonville Jaguars 7

(13:51) 10-J.Schum punts 46 yards to JAX 47, Center-61-B.Goode, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.04 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 87, worth +0.18 EP
56% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 93, worth -5.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (110 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model