Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 13 at the 86

Los Angeles Rams 23 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(4:57) 6-J.Hekker punts 36 yards to 50, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-34-C.Reynolds.

The Three Options

GO -3.09 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +1.33 EP
72% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 86, worth -4.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model