Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 8 at the 57

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Washington Commanders 0

(:22) 6-C.Jones punts 37 yards to WAS 20, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 11-D.Jackson.

The Three Options

GO -1.21 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.54 EP
65% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 57, worth -3.23 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model