Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 5 at the 77

Cincinnati Bengals 31 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(13:12) 10-K.Huber punts 43 yards to LA 34, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 11-T.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -1.75 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +1.22 EP
54% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 77, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model